Opening Night NFL 2006

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GAME ANALYSIS Location: Heinz Field
I don't want to make light of this, but it was a bizarre morning when you wake up to see 2 headlines -- Roethlisberger out with emergency appendectomy and "Crocodile Hunter" killed by stingray. Anway, the first bit of news is not a good for Pittsburgh. StatShark still forecasts them to win this game, but their chance of winning went from 75% down to a little over 60%. Roethlisberger's chemistry with Hines Ward and Heath Miller can't be minimized. The Steelers will rely on their ground game to eat up clock and newly rich, Willie Parker is forecasted for a good game generating around 4.5 yards per carry. Ronnie Brown is the focal point of the Miami rushing game, but the tough Steeler defense keeps him under 4 ypc. Daunte Culpepper's debut with Miami is expected to be a little shaky. He is forecasted for more INTs than TDs. However, in simulations where Culpepper minimizes turnovers, Miami typically wins.


WINNING PERCENTAGE (%) Dolphins
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34.7% Steelers
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64.9%


WIN BY 10 OR MORE POINTS Dolphins
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11.5% Steelers
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31.7%
WIN BY UNDER 5 POINTS
Dolphins
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13.2% Steelers
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17.2%



VISITING TEAM PLAYER FORECAST
PASSING
Culpepper QBR 77.6 PY 200.5 TD 0.8 INT 1.0
RUSHING
Brown
R 20.2 YDS 77.0 YPC 3.8 TD 0.3
Culpepper R 4.8 YDS 25.2 YPC 5.2 TD 0.1
Suggs R 2.4 YDS 6.8 YPC 2.8 TD 0.0
RECEIVING
Chambers
REC 4.8 RYD 56.7 YPC 11.8 TD 0.4
Booker REC 2.9 RYD 46.0 YPC 15.9 TD 0.1
McMichael REC 4.0 RYD 46.0 YPC 10.1 TD 0.1
Brown REC 3.1 RYD 21.3 YPC 6.9 TD 0.1
DEFENSE
SACK 1.9
INT 0.8 FUMREC 0.4 TO 1.2


HOME TEAM PLAYER FORECAST
PASSING
Batch QBR 78.6 YDS 169.5 TD 1.0 INT 0.8
RUSHING
Parker R 17.2 YDS 78.1 YPC 4.5 TD 0.2
Haynes R 10.1 YDS 44.5 YPC 4.4 TD 0.2
Cobbs R 4.2 YDS 13.2 YPC 3.1 TD 0.1
RECEIVING
Ward REC 4.1 RYD 55.5 YPC 13.5 TD 0.4
Wilson REC 2.0 RYD 34.3 YPC 17.2 TD 0.1
Miller REC 2.7 RYD 30.6 YPC 11.3 TD 0.3
Holmes REC 1.3 RYD 16.4 YPC 12.6 TD 0.1
DEFENSE
SACK 3.2 INT 1.0 FUMREC 0.4 TO 1.4

Current Line:
Pitt -1
MIA 1: 35.1%
PIT -1: 62.1%


Current Total
34 1/2
Over 34.5: 43.9%
Under 34.5: 56.1%

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Nice work...

Nice work on not fallnig into the Miami hype. I gave this a try and man is it pretty sweet. Basically, predictions as percentages with tools to change the o/u line or ps lines.

I have attached - or tried that is, to attach the major league baseball daily line report. This information is great. they have it for football, college and pro as well but I did not want to upset the therx, or the shark by posting that.

Hope you are ok with that...
 

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